Contents ( 59)
- THE BATTLE OF THE BOOKS
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- JONATHAN SWIFT
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- Contents
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- Introduction
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- The Bookseller to the Reader
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- The Preface of the Author
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- The Battle of the Books
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- The Episode of Bentley and Wotton
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- A Meditation Upon a Broomstick
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- Predictions for the Year 1708
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- The Accomplishment of the First of Mr. Bickerstaff's Predictions
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- Baucis and Philemon
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- The Logicians Refuted
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- The Puppet Show
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- Cadenus and Vanessa
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- Stella's Birthday, 1718
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- Stella's Birthday, 1720
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- Stella's Birthday
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- Stella's Birthday, 1724
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- Stella's Birthday, March 13, 1726
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- To Stella
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- The First He Wrote Oct 17, 1727
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- The Second Prayer was Written Nov 6, 1727
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- The Beasts' Confession
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- An Argument Against Abolishing Christianity
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- Hints Towards an Essay on Conversation
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- Thoughts on Various Subjects
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- A Modest Proposal
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- Endnotes
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I will allow either of the two I have mentioned, or any other of the fraternity, to be not only astrologers, but conjurers too, if I do not produce a hundred instances in all their almanacks to convince any reasonable man that they do not so much as understand common grammar and syntax; that they are not able to spell any word out of the usual road, nor even in their prefaces write common sense or intelligible English. Then for their observations and predictions, they are such as will equally suit any age or country in the world. "This month a certain great person will be threatened with death or sickness." This the newspapers will tell them; for there we find at the end of the year that no month passes without the death of some person of note; and it would be hard if it should be otherwise, when there are at least two thousand persons of note in this kingdom, many of them old, and the almanack-maker has the liberty of choosing the sickliest season of the year where he may fix his prediction. Again, "This month an eminent clergyman will be preferred;" of which there may be some hundreds, half of them with one foot in the grave. Then "such a planet in such a house shows great machinations, plots, and conspiracies, that may in time be brought to light:" after which, if we hear of any discovery, the astrologer gets the honour; if not, his prediction still stands good. And at last, "God preserve King William from all his open and secret enemies, Amen." When if the King should happen to have died, the astrologer plainly foretold it; otherwise it passes but for the pious ejaculation of a loyal subject; though it unluckily happened in some of their almanacks that poor King William was prayed for many months after he was dead, because it fell out that he died about the beginning of the year.
To mention no more of their impertinent predictions: what have we to do with their advertisements about pills and drink for disease? or their mutual quarrels in verse and prose of Whig and Tory, wherewith the stars have little to do?
Having long observed and lamented these, and a hundred other abuses of this art, too tedious to repeat, I resolved to proceed in a new way, which I doubt not will be to the general satisfaction of the kingdom. I can this year produce but a specimen of what I design for the future, having employed most part of my time in adjusting and correcting the calculations I made some years past, because I would offer nothing to the world of which I am not as fully satisfied as that I am now alive. For these two last years I have not failed in above one or two particulars, and those of no very great moment. I exactly foretold the miscarriage at Toulon, with all its particulars, and the loss of Admiral Shovel, though I was mistaken as to the day, placing that accident about thirty-six hours sooner than it happened; but upon reviewing my schemes, I quickly found the cause of that error. I likewise foretold the Battle of Almanza to the very day and hour, with the lose on both sides, and the consequences thereof. All which I showed to some friends many months before they happened—that is, I gave them papers sealed up, to open at such a time, after which they were at liberty to read them; and there they found my predictions true in every article, except one or two very minute.