10    Principal Projections (PP) of the ONS, based on 2014 figures.

11    See David Coleman, ‘Uncontrolled migration means Finis Britanniae’, Standpoint, June 2016, issue 83.

THE EXCUSES WE TOLD OURSELVES

1    ‘Migration: an economic and social analysis’, Home Office Economics and Resource Analysis Unit and the Cabinet Office Performance and Innovation Unit, November 2000 (https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/61131/migrationreportnov2000.pdf).

2    Peter Sutherland and Cecilia Malmström, ‘Europe’s migration challenge’, Project Syndicate, 20 July 2012.

3    See for instance BBC News, ‘Recent immigrants to UK “make net contribution”’, 5 November 2013.

4    Professor Christian Dustmann and Dr Tommaso Frattini, ‘The fiscal effects of immigration to the UK’, University College London, Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration, 27 November 2013.

5    Dustmann and Frattini, ‘The fiscal effects of immigration to the UK’, The Economic Journal, vol. 124, issue 580, November 2014. See especially Table 5.

6    Sutherland and Malmström, ‘Europe’s migration challenge’.

7    For this and other information on fertility rates, see Eurostat, ‘Total fertility rate, 1960–2014 (live births per woman’ [http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/File:Total_fertility_rate,_1960%E2%80%932014_(live_births_per_woman)_YB16.png].

8    Eurostat.

9    Population Trends, Summer 2002, ONS.

10    ONS, ‘Average age of retirement rises as people work longer’, 16 February 2012.

11    ‘Merkel warns on cost of welfare’, The Financial Times, 16 December 2012.

12    Richard Reed, in The Daily Express debate, 3 June 2016.

13    Sarah Spencer (ed.), Strangers and Citizens: A Positive Approach to Migrants and Refugees, Paul and Company, 1994, p. 340.

14    Ibid., p. 109.

15    Sarah Spencer, Migrants, Refugees and the Boundaries of Citizenship, IPPR pamphlet, 1995.

16    Sarah Spencer (ed.), The Politics of Migration, Blackwell, 2003 p. 6.

17    ‘Muslims in Britain have zero tolerance of homosexuality, says poll’, The Guardian, 7 May 2009.

18    ICM poll reported in ‘Half of all British Muslims think homosexuality should be illegal, poll finds’, The Guardian, 11 April 2016.

19    YouGov survey, fieldwork, 23–24 February 2015.

20    Professor Alexis Jay, Independent Inquiry into Child Sexual Exploitation in Rotherham (1997–2013).

21    For instance, outside the Old Bailey in London after the Operation Bullfinch trial.

22    Mohammed Shafiq of the Ramadhan Foundation.

23    ‘Innvandrere bak alle anmeldte overfallsvoldtekter i Oslo’, Dagbladet, 15 April 2009.

24    ‘Norway offers migrants a lesson in how to treat women’, The New York Times, 19 December 2015.

25    Tom Bower, Broken Vows: Tony Blair and the Tragedy of Power, Faber & Faber, 2016, p. 175.

‘WELCOME TO EUROPE’

1    IOM, ‘IOM applauds Italy’s life-saving Mare Nostrum operation: “Not a migrant pull factor”’, press release, 31 October 2014.

2    The New York Times, ‘Aliens find a European gateway at Spain’s coast’, report by Alan Riding, 18 October 1992.

3    Ibid.

4    This case actually came to trial in Spain two years later. See ‘Muslim migrant boat captain faces murder charges for pushing Christians overboard’, Daily Telegraph, 19 September 2016.

‘WE HAVE SEEN EVERYTHING’

1    Neujahrsansprache von Bundeskanzlerin Angela Merkel, Die Bundesregierung, 31 December 2014.

2    Sommerpressekonferenz von Bundeskanzlerin Merkel, Die Bundesregierung, 31 August 2015.

3    The Economist, 5 September 2015.

MULTICULTURALISM

1    See Paul Scheffer, Het Land van Aankomst, De Bezige Bij, 2007.

2    ‘Merkel says German multicultural society has failed’, BBC News, 17 October 2010.

3    Friedrich Ebert Foundation study, October 2010.

4    David Cameron speech at the Munich Security Conference, 5 February 2011.

5    Le Figaro, ‘Sarkozy: le multiculturalisme, “un chec”’, 10 February 2011.