Unfortunately, it sounded as if the old turf wars between competing intelligence outfits were rearing their ugly heads once more. Which, she reflected, was probably inevitable, given that each set of analysts would come at the raw data with its own institutional priorities and preconceptions. And to be completely fair-minded, Usher was supposed to be concerning himself with domestic matters and counter-intelligence, not with analyzing foreign intelligence data. Not that having several competing analyses might not offer its own advantages, since a rigorous debate was probably the best way to get at the actual truth.

“The people who disagree with General Usher tend to fall into two main camps,” Theisman told her. “One group, which agrees with Secretary Giancola’s position and probably represents the largest number of dissidents, believes the Manticoran government intends to hang onto the occupied planets indefinitely. Their view is that Descroix’s refusal to respond to any of our proposals or to make any serious offers of her own is simply a ploy to waste time until they’ve properly prepared public opinion in the Star Kingdom to accept outright annexation of at least some of the occupied planets. For the most part, they point to Trevor’s Star as their example, although at least some of them will admit that the junction terminus makes that system a special case. A much smaller percentage will even admit that the way the Legislaturalists and StateSec treated the San Martinos made the system even more of a special case. I personally can’t see any Manticoran government pursuing any sort of territory-grabbing policy across the board, but I suppose it would be stupid to completely rule out the possibility. Especially if there were to the some sort of drastic change in the Manties’ internal political dynamics.”

“The second group who disagrees with General Usher’s analysis doesn’t bother its head with imputing any deep, conspiratorial machinations to the Manties. They’re still locked into the mindset that the Manties are our natural and inevitable enemies. I don’t know how much of that is left over from old Public Information propaganda and how much of it’s simply the result of how long we’ve been at war with the Star Kingdom. Whatever the origin of their beliefs, though, they’re either unwilling or unable to consider the possibility of a lasting peace with the Manties. So in their view, of course the Star Kingdom has no interest in negotiating seriously with us. All that High Ridge and Descroix are doing is killing time before the war between us inevitably breaks out again.”

“I hope you’ll pardon my saying this, Sir, but that’s bullshit,” Foraker said, and Theisman looked at her. His raised eyebrows invited her to continue, and she gave her head a little toss and obeyed.

“I’ve met some of the Manties,” she reminded him. “Both after I was captured by Admiral Harrington in Silesia, and after Admiral Tourville captured her. Certainly some of them hate us, if only because we’ve been fighting each other for so long, but most of the people I’ve met on the other side didn’t have any more desire to conquer the Republic than I had to conquer the Star Kingdom. I realize naval officers are expected to follow orders, and that if their government decided to continue the war against us, they would. Even admitting that, though, I don’t think any Manticoran government is going to be able to ignore public opinion against fighting a war that doesn’t have to be fought.