"We've been hearing for some time about a dissident faction inside their intelligence community, one that does not especially love the Soviets.  You can pick any number of reasons why.  There's the fundamental historical enmity, and the Russians seem to forget that the Poles are Polish first, Communists second.  My own guess is that it's this business with the pope, even more than the martial law thing.  We know that our old friend Andropov initiated a replay of the Henry II/Becket business.  The pope has given Poland a great deal of prestige, done things for the country that even Party members feel good about.  Ivan went and spit on their whole country when he did that—you wonder that they're mad?  As to their ability, people seem to overlook just what a class act their intelligence service always has been.  They're the ones who made the Enigma break-through in 1939, not the Brits.  They're damned effective, and for the same reason as the Israelis.  They have enemies to the east and the west.  That sort of thing breeds good agents.  We know for certain that they have a lot of people inside Russia, guest workers paying Narmonov off for the economic supports given to their country.  We also know that a lot of Polish engineers are working in Soviet shipyards.  I admit it's funny, neither country has much of a maritime tradition, but the Poles build a lot of Soviet merchant hulls.  Their yards are more efficient than the Russian ones, and lately they've been giving technical help, mainly in quality control, to the naval building yards."

"So, the Polish intelligence service has played a trick on the Soviets," Donaldson summarized.  "Gorshkov is one of the guys who took a hard line on intervention, wasn't he?"

"True, but he's probably just a target of opportunity.  The real aim of this has to be to embarrass Moscow.  The fact that this operation attacks the Soviet Navy has no significance in itself.  The objective is to raise hell in their senior military channels, and they all come together in Moscow.  God, I wish I knew what was really happening!  From the five percent we do know, this operation has to be a real masterpiece, the sort of thing legends are made of.  We're working on it, trying to find out.  So are the Brits, and the French, and the Israelis—Benny Herzog of the Mossad is supposed to be going ape.  The Israelis do pull this kind of trick on their neighbors, regularly.  They say officially that they don't know anything beyond what they've told us.  Maybe so.  Or maybe they gave the Poles some technical help—hard to say.  It's certain that the Soviet Navy is a strategic threat to Israel.  But we need more time on that.  The Israeli connection looks a little too pat at this point."

"But you don't know what's happening, just the how and why."